Climate Change and Extreme Value Theory
May 11-13, 2009, 2009
EURANDOM & KNMI, The Netherlands|
Programme & Abstracts| Speakers & Participants | Registration | Practical Information | Interesting Links | Instruction for speakers
The earth's climate can be characterized by a number of parameters. E.g. annual regional averages of temperature and rainfall, distribution of rainfall over a year and average wind intensity and direction. These parameters clearly show variability, depending on the location and time.
It is very important to study the variation in these climate parameters over a longer period of time, especially trends that indicate non-stationarity of their behavior are of interest in order to attribute them to natural or anthropogenic causes. Studying possible causes for these trends, quantitative aspects of these trends and consequences for human, animal and plant life of these trends is important for reasons of safety, economy and quality of life for future generations.
Many researchers around the world work on aspects of climate change, e.g. people in climate studies, oceanography, mathematics, physics, economics etc. The stochastic methods used come from a broad range of subfields of stochastics, e.g. stochastic modelling, stochastic simulation, inverse problems, stochastic processes, extreme value statistics, curve estimation, time series analysis etc.
This workshop focuses on extreme value statistics in the context of climate change. Various excellent, internationally renowned researchers will give presentations. Mathematically oriented people from climate research who encounter problems related to extreme value theory will give talks on the background and special features of the problems they encounter. Also people from stochastics who work in extreme value theory (either on the applied or more theoretical side) will give presentations on their work.
PhD students and young researchers are invited to attend in particular.
The meeting will be held at both Eurandom (Technical University Eindhoven) and KNMI (Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, de Bilt)
David S. Battisti,
Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Washington Seattle, USA
Anthony C. Davison, Institute of Mathematics Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne (EPFL), Switzerland
Arnoldo Frigessi, Department of Biostatistics University of Oslo, Norway
Gabriele C. Hegerl,School of Geosciences University of Edinburgh, UK
Albert Klein Tank, Climate Research and Seismology, KNMI, NL
Douglas W. Nychka, National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder, USA
Holger Rootzén, Department of Statistics Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden
Richard L. Smith, Department of Statistics and Operations Research University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, USA
David B. Stephenson, Department of Mathematics, Exeter Climate Studies University of Exeter and Hadley Centre, UK
May 11, 2009 (at EURANDOM):
Welcome & coffee/tea
10.30-11.30 Invited talk
11.30-12.30 Invited talk
13.45-14.15 Presentation of two concrete problems
14.15-15.15 Invited talk
15.45-16.45 Invited talk
May 12, 2009 (at KNMI)
09.45 Bus tour to
11.00-12.00 Tour of KNMI
13.15-14.15 Invited talk
14.15-15.15 Group discussions on problems
15.45-16.45 Invited talk
16.45-17.30 Group discussions on problems
18.00-20.30 Dinner at restaurant in De Bilt
20.45 Bus trip to back to Eindhoven.
May 13, 2009 (at EURANDOM)
10.30-11.00 Presentation group I (problem 1)
11.00-11.30 Presentation group II (problem 1)
11.30-12.00 Presentation group III (problem 2)
12.00-12.30 Presentation group IV (problem 2)
13.30-14.30 Invited talk
14.30-15.30 Invited talk
15.30- Closing and drinks
Deadline for registration is April 10.
Note that the number of places is limited.
There is no registration fee.
PLEASE REGISTER by filling in the FORM
Conference Location and Travel
The workshop location on Monday May 11, 2009 and Wednesday May 13, 2009 is EURANDOM, Den Dolech 2, 5612 AZ Eindhoven, Laplace Building, 1st floor, LG 1.105.
EURANDOM is located on the campus of Eindhoven University of Technology, in the 'Laplacegebouw' building' (LG on the map). The university is located at 10 minutes walking distance from Eindhoven railway station (take the exit north side and walk towards the tall building on the right with the sign TU/e).
For information on how to come to Eindhoven, please check www.eurandom.tue.nl/Location.htm
On Tuesday may 12, 2009, see programme, the conference location is KNMI, Wilhelminalaan 10, 3732 GK De Bilt, Buys Ballot room.
For more information http://www.knmi.nl/contact/
For private bookings we suggest you consult the web pages of the Tourist Information Eindhoven, Postbus 7, 5600 AA Eindhoven.
May 11-12-13, lunches are being organised; these are free of costs for all participants, if ordered on the registration form.
May 12 there will be a conference dinner in De Bilt. For non-invitees an amount of 35 euro is requested, to be paid at arrival in cash (preferably exact amount in euros). Indicate your attendance on the registration form.
Instruction for speakers
Invited talks will take 60 minutes, including discussion.
The conference room is equipped with a notebook (windows or UNIX), overhead projector, blackboard and beamer.
We recommend to bring your presentation on a USB stick.
For more information please contact Mrs. Lucienne Coolen, workshop officer of EURANDOM, at coolen 'at' eurandom.tue.nl
Dr. Wilco Hazeleger (KNMI)
Prof. Geurt Jongbloed (TU Delft & Eurandom)
Prof. Jef Teugels (KU Leuven & Eurandom)
Prof. Arnoldo Frigessi (University of Oslo)
"Risk, Rare Events and Extremes", Research Programme at the
Bernoulli Centre, Lausanne, 1 July - 31 December 2009,
The journal Extremes (http://www.springerlink.com/content/102890/)
is planning a special issue on "Statistics of Extremes in Weather and
Climate". Please see an announcement at: http://www.isse.ucar.edu/extremevalues/special.pdf
First submission deadline is February 2, 2009.
The Organizers would like to acknowledge the following organizations for their contributions
Aard- en Levenswetenschappen